Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $2.9B: Is This the End of the Bull Run? (2026)

The Bitcoin market is in a serious purge, with over $2.9 billion leaving spot ETFs and leveraged traders getting wiped out! It's a tough time for Bitcoin (BTC) as it recently dipped below $73,000, a stark contrast to its brief retest of $79,500 just a day before. This sharp decline seems to be following the footsteps of the tech-heavy Nasdaq Index, which itself was dragged down by a gloomy sales forecast from chipmaker AMD and less-than-stellar US employment figures.

Traders are now bracing for even more downward pressure on Bitcoin's price, especially since the spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen an astonishing $2.9 billion in outflows over just 12 trading days. This averages out to a significant $243 million in net daily outflows since January 16th, a period that eerily coincides with Bitcoin's rejection at the $98,000 mark on January 14th. The subsequent 26% correction over three weeks resulted in a staggering $3.25 billion in liquidations for leveraged BTC futures. It's highly likely that any leverage exceeding 4x has already been extinguished, unless buyers were ready to inject more margin.

But here's where it gets controversial... Some folks are pointing fingers at the lingering chaos from a massive $19 billion liquidation event on October 10, 2025. The story goes that this was triggered by a glitch in database queries at the Binance exchange, leading to delayed transactions and inaccurate data. While Binance did acknowledge technical hiccups and compensated affected users with over $283 million, the ripple effects might still be felt.

Haseeb Qureshi, a managing partner at Dragonfly, shared a rather stark view: "huge liquidations at Binance could not get filled, but liquidation engines keep firing regardless. This caused market makers to get wiped out, and they were unable to pick up the pieces." He believes the October 2025 crash didn't permanently damage the market, but market makers will indeed need time to recover.

And this is the part most people miss... The analysis suggests that the liquidation mechanisms on cryptocurrency exchanges might not be designed for self-stabilization like traditional finance (TradFi) systems (think circuit breakers!). Instead, they seem to prioritize minimizing insolvency risks. Qureshi candidly states that cryptocurrencies are a "long series" of "bad things" happening, but historically, the market has always found a way to bounce back.

BTC options skew signals traders doubt $72,100 bottom

To get a real pulse on whether professional traders have turned bearish, we need to look at the BTC options market. During times of market stress, there's a surge in demand for put (sell) options, which pushes the delta skew metric beyond the neutral 6% threshold. An excessive demand for downside protection usually signals a lack of confidence from the bulls.

On Wednesday, the BTC options delta skew hit 13%, a very clear sign that professional traders aren't convinced that Bitcoin's price has bottomed out at $72,100. This skepticism is partly fueled by concerns that the tech sector could face increased competition as tech giants like Google and AMD roll out their own proprietary artificial intelligence chips.

Adding to the unease for Bitcoin holders are two unrelated and unsubstantiated rumors. First, a rumored $9 billion Bitcoin sale by a Galaxy Digital customer in 2025 was initially linked to quantum computing risks. However, Alex Thorn, Galaxy's head of research, has publicly denied these rumors. Second, speculation about Binance's solvency gained traction after the exchange experienced temporary withdrawal halts due to technical issues. However, current on-chain data indicates that Bitcoin deposits on Binance remain relatively stable.

Given the current unpredictable macroeconomic landscape, many traders are choosing to steer clear of cryptocurrency markets altogether. This exodus makes it incredibly difficult to predict whether the ongoing spot Bitcoin ETF outflows will continue to exert downward pressure on the price.

What are your thoughts on the current Bitcoin market? Do you agree with Qureshi's assessment of crypto exchanges' liquidation mechanisms, or do you believe they are inherently flawed? Share your opinions in the comments below!

Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $2.9B: Is This the End of the Bull Run? (2026)

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